Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fed00840824bdfbf6fa4c58d820eeb01de0c043f381c1534634765bbe5bff02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ferencvárosi TCof Fenerbahçe SK, Ferencvárosi TC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ferencvárosi TC | 62c | 1,988$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.88 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Fenerbahçe SK | 37c | 1,630$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.94 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0841…9c8dbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 39c | 518.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 75c | 450.02$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 39c | 397.44$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Ferencvárosi TC | 59c | 394.54$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 61c | 305.29$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.06 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f319backed Fenerbahçe SK | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ferencvárosi TC | 61c | 251.93$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Fenerbahçe SK | 38c | 230$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…80f7backed Fenerbahçe SK | 39c | 130.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Fenerbahçe SK | 43c | 121.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Ferencvárosi TC | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Fenerbahçe SK | 38c | 91.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Ferencvárosi TC | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…2da5backed Fenerbahçe SK | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Fenerbahçe SK | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Ferencvárosi TC | 62c | 19.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Ferencvárosi TC | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.