Europa Conference League · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x744d9e882a2ec8b583b119297e601ff023dc76c22ec15a1e7d94d0b2c3d0cc29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 1,769$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.95 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 43c | 999.96$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.98 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Yes | 57c | 883.7$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 58c | 863.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.16 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Yes | 60c | 765$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 629.9$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.87 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 40c | 569.26$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 59c | 511.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.95 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 49c | 484$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.06 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 41c | 443.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 58c | 198.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Yes | 55c | 188.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 58c | 173.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Yes | 60c | 166.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 42c | 93.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 57c | 90.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 58c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…121fbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 59c | 84.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 42c | 83.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…4ca1backed Yes | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 43c | 69.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…82c2backed Yes | 58c | 52.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 39c | 52.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…6121backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Yes | 39c | 28.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…f0bcbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +227.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…e41cbacked Yes | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.