Tennis · resolved market
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Aoi Ito
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ffad49623772734d5c66e6e215d6f51429aa87f74bfd42e9ae0d264dfe4081a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diane Parryof Diane Parry, Aoi Ito
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Aoi Ito | 15c | 19,549$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Aoi Ito | 7c | 1,857$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.95 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Aoi Ito | 12c | 1,618$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.21 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Aoi Ito | 12c | 1,140$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Aoi Ito | 19c | 526.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Aoi Ito | 24c | 339.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Aoi Ito | 15c | 333.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Aoi Ito | 19c | 276.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Aoi Ito | 17c | 242.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Diane Parry | 76c | 210.78$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Aoi Ito | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Aoi Ito | 19c | 165.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Aoi Ito | 17c | 114$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Aoi Ito | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Diane Parry | 74c | 80.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Diane Parry | 75c | 77.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Aoi Ito | 19c | 65.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Diane Parry | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Aoi Ito | 20c | 55.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Diane Parry | 76c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Aoi Ito | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Diane Parry | 80c | 38.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb7…4736backed Diane Parry | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Diane Parry | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fed…9664backed Diane Parry | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Aoi Itothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Parry vs ItoParry won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.