Tennis · resolved market
Hagen: Niels McDonald vs Jerome Kym
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ffee2ac3a487fa40e5ff73c1b651d3aa45615943377c9b250c41aa295121e96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jerome Kymof Niels McDonald, Jerome Kym
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Niels McDonald | 5c | 6,661$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.03 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Niels McDonald | 15c | 3,439$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Niels McDonald | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.69 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Jerome Kym | 69c | 1,450$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.5 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Niels McDonald | 19c | 1,168$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.27 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jerome Kym | 68c | 805.51$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.25 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jerome Kym | 72c | 704.86$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.77 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Jerome Kym | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Jerome Kym | 68c | 637.06$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.86 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jerome Kym | 73c | 560.43$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.57 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Niels McDonald | 16c | 430.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Niels McDonald | 32c | 387.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Niels McDonald | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Niels McDonald | 21c | 241.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Niels McDonald | 16c | 220.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Niels McDonald | 25c | 151.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Niels McDonald | 29c | 147.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Jerome Kym | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Niels McDonald | 18c | 126.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Niels McDonald | 25c | 112.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Jerome Kym | 70c | 100.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Jerome Kym | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Niels McDonald | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jerome Kym | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Niels McDonald | 14c | 84.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Niels McDonald | 13c | 77.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Niels McDonald | 29c | 70.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Jerome Kym | 76c | 68.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Jerome Kym | 71c | 67.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Jerome Kym | 70c | 66.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Jerome Kym | 75c | 60.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Niels McDonald | 25c | 58.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Jerome Kym | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Niels McDonald | 19c | 54.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Niels McDonald | 21c | 54.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Jerome Kym | 72c | 53.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Jerome Kym | 68c | 44.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Niels McDonald | 31c | 42.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Jerome Kym | 77c | 42.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Jerome Kym | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Jerome Kym | 73c | 36.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Jerome Kym | 76c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Jerome Kym | 68c | 22.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…2bedbacked Jerome Kym | 73c | 19.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Jerome Kym | 79c | 16.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 215 | 63.3%136 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Jerome Kym | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jerome Kym | 80c | 13.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.