Premier League · resolved market
Stoke City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x502c0a537fb43d9576e6da5ef508525f3d37e5055453574b1c00c7fc6ddaf84e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9ca…1a46backed Under | 28c | 9,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…c4b1backed Under | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…de9dbacked Over | 72c | 4,500$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…6a2abacked Over | 72c | 4,150$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…9b7abacked Over | 72c | 3,700$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…4f4abacked Under | 28c | 3,650$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95a…c264backed Over | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf7…cf5cbacked Over | 72c | 2,300$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 18c | 718.71$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 74c | 611.75$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.86 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 30c | 515.5$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 69c | 429$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 26c | 362.46$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 71c | 344.83$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Under | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 78c | 255.01$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 28c | 192.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 73c | 45.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stoke City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Stoke City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stoke City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stoke City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.