Valorant · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x504847de388397f4916ec602343c2e03f87fbd6e046166776bce21fa2c5748a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Esportsof Leviatán Esports, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed MIBR | 53c | 960.82$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.57 | 232 | 47.4%110 W · 122 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Leviatán Esports | 47c | 872.17$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.25 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed MIBR | 52c | 243.88$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 651 | 47.5%309 W · 342 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed MIBR | 51c | 243.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 194 | 43.8%85 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed Leviatán Esports | 49c | 205.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Leviatán Esports | 49c | 204.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e9…39a0backed Leviatán Esports | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…f2e5backed Leviatán Esports | 49c | 70.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MIBR | 52c | 48.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 686 | 50.4%346 W · 340 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…59d9backed Leviatán Esports | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 PlayoffsLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.