Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x809e58364773ee3a27fb8617b791f2388064d210b794ba9f1f2f789ce9402dc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Esportsof Leviatán Esports, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0aa4…5dc8backed MIBR | 64c | 3,904$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.42 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Leviatán Esports | 34c | 2,267$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.91 | 232 | 47.4%110 W · 122 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Leviatán Esports | 36c | 1,676$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.64 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0c…6ab2backed Leviatán Esports | 36c | 1,338$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked MIBR | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…fc2ebacked MIBR | 65c | 768.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Leviatán Esports | 37c | 517.59$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.08 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Leviatán Esports | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MIBR | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 796 | 62.3%496 W · 300 L | +54.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Leviatán Esports | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 194 | 43.8%85 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Leviatán Esports | 34c | 369$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Leviatán Esports | 36c | 277.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.33 | 651 | 47.5%309 W · 342 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…3fe0backed Leviatán Esports | 36c | 234.83$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked Leviatán Esports | 37c | 135.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked MIBR | 66c | 101.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Leviatán Esports | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…8fecbacked Leviatán Esports | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Leviatán Esports | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Leviatán Esports | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 686 | 50.4%346 W · 340 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Leviatán Esports | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Leviatán Esports | 37c | 43.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 958 | 49.6%475 W · 483 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…5eabbacked MIBR | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 PlayoffsLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.