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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leviatán Esportsof Leviatán Esports, MIBR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6130…a7a6backed MIBR35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MIBR39c9,217$3,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,578.4113649.3%67 W · 69 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Leviatán Esports64c6,500$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.9820761.4%127 W · 80 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd794…248bbacked Leviatán Esports65c5,620$3,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.131973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Leviatán Esports63c4,174$2,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.329343.7%128 W · 165 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked Leviatán Esports61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.996944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f0e…0200backed Leviatán Esports65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.922166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked MIBR36c2,828$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.264751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MIBR35c2,750$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.542434.7%147 W · 277 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked MIBR36c2,485$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90026236.3%95 W · 167 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Leviatán Esports61c2,237$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.8923247.4%110 W · 122 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed MIBR17c2,100$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.5239842%167 W · 231 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4d…0bd2backed Leviatán Esports64c1,963$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.624100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed MIBR34c1,945$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.3729045.2%131 W · 159 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Leviatán Esports66c1,825$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.0636157.6%208 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed MIBR3c1,544$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4334746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked MIBR28c1,450$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4067741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed MIBR35c1,372$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.1519443.8%85 W · 109 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed MIBR33c1,282$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.061833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Leviatán Esports61c1,125$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.7594648.1%455 W · 491 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked MIBR36c1,112$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030033%99 W · 201 L-1.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf404…daaabacked Leviatán Esports64c1,065$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.41540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked MIBR19c934.92$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.893056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda7…af42backed Leviatán Esports64c933.55$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.085763.2%36 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked Leviatán Esports68c914$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.481478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+73.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed MIBR35c749.95$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4825746.7%120 W · 137 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked MIBR18c722.22$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-53.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Leviatán Esports74c682.85$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.0166059.5%393 W · 267 L+51.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc365…635cbacked Leviatán Esports72c680.96$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.676346%29 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed MIBR30c668.93$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4347126.8%126 W · 345 L-26.2wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Leviatán Esports69c662.47$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.4742747.1%201 W · 226 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed MIBR16c647.45$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2361622.7%140 W · 476 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed MIBR17c627.28$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed MIBR35c599.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.995641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MIBR38c545.11$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3779662.3%496 W · 300 L+54.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Leviatán Esports76c543.81$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6915947.8%76 W · 83 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Leviatán Esports62c498.99$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.11933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Leviatán Esports65c493.66$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7826357%150 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc8…3f38backed MIBR41c473.9$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1931136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed MIBR36c470.28$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.315241.4%63 W · 89 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed Leviatán Esports65c453.51$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.739262%57 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Leviatán Esports79c437.69$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.195849.6%475 W · 483 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked MIBR36c426$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9130141.2%124 W · 177 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Leviatán Esports72c415$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.59282.6%76 W · 16 L+12.1wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+19.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked MIBR39c387.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked Leviatán Esports65c384.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6219344.6%86 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed Leviatán Esports65c381.54$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.541172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Leviatán Esports65c357$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.951752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MIBR36c344.24$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9353659.1%317 W · 219 L+41.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12b1…b851backed MIBR19c320.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.39825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+31.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x65b7…3798backed Leviatán Esports65c316.51$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7819553.3%104 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…fa54backed MIBR36c311.48$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Leviatán Esports64c310.93$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.932176.2%16 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+43.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x15fa…f856backed Leviatán Esports65c307.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.794763.8%30 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…6b0cbacked MIBR36c305.56$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b81…613dbacked Leviatán Esports65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1055145.1%23 W · 28 L-7.5wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed MIBR35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10527745.5%126 W · 151 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked MIBR37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11135247.2%166 W · 186 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9803…0242backed MIBR10c295.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013458.2%78 W · 56 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa521…d609backed Leviatán Esports64c280.77$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.873767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed MIBR36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.824147.7%115 W · 126 L+14.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f9b…df54backed MIBR36c278.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006440.6%26 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b03…d5cdbacked MIBR36c277.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-52.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed MIBR36c262.75$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5911258.9%66 W · 46 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14b7…aab1backed MIBR39c253.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MIBR24c244$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6283335.2%293 W · 540 L-60.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d30…d31dbacked MIBR35c240$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.61827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Leviatán Esports65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7724464.3%157 W · 87 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed MIBR18c225.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.548219.5%16 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed MIBR35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…8da8backed Leviatán Esports65c195.38$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.383652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed Leviatán Esports62c193.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.545749.1%28 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Leviatán Esports64c177.01$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8232863.1%207 W · 121 L+33.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Leviatán Esports72c175.45$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7872043.3%312 W · 408 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Leviatán Esports75c174.36$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.261253.9%330 W · 282 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Leviatán Esports78c170.55$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1924550.2%123 W · 122 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed Leviatán Esports61c163.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.289154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fc…f032backed Leviatán Esports65c155.71$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.55100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0993…b350backed Leviatán Esports65c154$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Leviatán Esports65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8520546.3%95 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedcd…2507backed Leviatán Esports66c152.59$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.881080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2edf…f14fbacked Leviatán Esports65c151.78$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.127653.9%41 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccb…8590backed Leviatán Esports66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10e…72a6backed Leviatán Esports64c146.58$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.424540%18 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x461b…38ffbacked MIBR36c141.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514963.3%31 W · 18 L+8.5wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Leviatán Esports72c138.7$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3979944.3%354 W · 445 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e34…3f7ebacked MIBR36c130.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Leviatán Esports63c127.87$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3368650.4%346 W · 340 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Leviatán Esports65c125.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8722853.5%122 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked MIBR20c117.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246731.3%21 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Leviatán Esports72c115.44$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3248747%229 W · 258 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9311…e731backed Leviatán Esports65c112$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.93056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fc…2b03backed MIBR18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed MIBR30c110.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.750555%278 W · 227 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked MIBR17c108.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1918439.7%73 W · 111 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x736e…92babacked MIBR36c104.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.485228.8%15 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb00…2b37backed MIBR39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe73…6d77backed MIBR39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dbd…4219backed MIBR39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef9a…f58dbacked MIBR35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.