Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x504c8304a6309453951f6bda278fbb30ce0fbdb42906930d1a7238946f0a7799
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof PuckChamp, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 9,371$7,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.2 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PuckChamp | 26c | 5,000$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.4 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PuckChamp | 10c | 4,586$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.68 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked PuckChamp | 22c | 2,464$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.16 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked PuckChamp | 23c | 1,689$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.23 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PuckChamp | 20c | 985.6$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.12 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed PuckChamp | 8c | 587.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PuckChamp | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Zero Tenacity | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…079ebacked PuckChamp | 23c | 110.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…1892backed PuckChamp | 22c | 102.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 84.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 272 | 59.2%161 W · 111 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed PuckChamp | 22c | 82.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 417 | 39.6%165 W · 252 L | -38.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed PuckChamp | 28c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 524 | 50.8%266 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PuckChamp | 20c | 73.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 71.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed PuckChamp | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 204 | 21.1%43 W · 161 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PuckChamp | 19c | 69.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PuckChamp | 19c | 60.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed PuckChamp | 28c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Zero Tenacity | 71c | 55.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | +24.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked PuckChamp | 29c | 49.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…21e3backed Zero Tenacity | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 42.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 40.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 40.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Zero Tenacity | 79c | 31.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 412 | 46.8%193 W · 219 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 20.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 19.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 18.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 289 | 51.9%150 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…696abacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 13.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.7 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group BZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5)Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.