Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5696be2486100154ba7da219d01848116b3099de634f57d58e8f274d4a52045a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof PuckChamp, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PuckChamp | 16c | 66,139$10,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,737.99 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PuckChamp | 17c | 9,852$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.43 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PuckChamp | 15c | 8,933$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.06 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed PuckChamp | 14c | 4,410$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.88 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked PuckChamp | 14c | 3,212$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.56 | 239 | 36.4%87 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PuckChamp | 16c | 2,500$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.41 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PuckChamp | 19c | 2,180$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PuckChamp | 1c | 1,750$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PuckChamp | 11c | 1,657$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.48 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked PuckChamp | 8c | 1,503$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.79 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed PuckChamp | 1c | 1,495$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 501 | 32.3%162 W · 339 L | -46.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed PuckChamp | 16c | 1,037$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.98 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed PuckChamp | 5c | 759.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked PuckChamp | 15c | 554$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…88dbbacked PuckChamp | 4c | 312.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked PuckChamp | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 281.83$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 270.5$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked PuckChamp | 10c | 264.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 217.72$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 183$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 1,461 | 48.5%709 W · 752 L | +28.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed PuckChamp | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 814 | 45.1%367 W · 447 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Zero Tenacity | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked PuckChamp | 14c | 135.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PuckChamp | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PuckChamp | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 90.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed PuckChamp | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 65.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked PuckChamp | 22c | 65.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed PuckChamp | 18c | 65.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 44.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…e8c5backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5)Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.