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Tennis · resolved market

Nottingham 3: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Felix Gill

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Felix Gillof Filip Jeff Planinsek, Felix Gill
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,192
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,714

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,192 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Filip Jeff Planinsek10c20,889$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.419,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Felix Gill77c8,588$6,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,975.131,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Filip Jeff Planinsek23c7,717$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.8313025.4%33 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Filip Jeff Planinsek22c3,382$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.975,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Felix Gill79c3,116$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.484,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Filip Jeff Planinsek18c1,461$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9979040.6%321 W · 469 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcb…9f08backed Filip Jeff Planinsek6c1,009$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4520635.9%74 W · 132 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Filip Jeff Planinsek19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1909,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Filip Jeff Planinsek11c788.5$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4459721.8%130 W · 467 L+2.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Filip Jeff Planinsek2c602.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.832,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Filip Jeff Planinsek23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Filip Jeff Planinsek22c280$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.61,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Filip Jeff Planinsek14c238.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.428031.8%89 W · 191 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Filip Jeff Planinsek15c216$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.442930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek19c199.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8267852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Filip Jeff Planinsek20c180.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7292138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Filip Jeff Planinsek24c160$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.41,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Felix Gill78c152.61$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5733152.6%174 W · 157 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Filip Jeff Planinsek8c142.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.278,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Felix Gill76c134.12$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.243,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Felix Gill77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871,67353%887 W · 786 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Filip Jeff Planinsek21c124$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0432546.2%150 W · 175 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Filip Jeff Planinsek10c117.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.291,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044952.8%237 W · 212 L+1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Filip Jeff Planinsek10c102.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2585742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Filip Jeff Planinsek11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127132.1%87 W · 184 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Filip Jeff Planinsek21c90.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0433043.9%145 W · 185 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Filip Jeff Planinsek13c82.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.631,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Filip Jeff Planinsek23c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.148245.6%220 W · 262 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Felix Gill76c67.18$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.971,06857.4%613 W · 455 L+21.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7629…ef05backed Felix Gill77c63.64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6437262.9%234 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Filip Jeff Planinsek20c62.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.655,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Filip Jeff Planinsek22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.983747.6%398 W · 439 L-2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek22c59.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.985637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Filip Jeff Planinsek23c54.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Felix Gill76c52.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.621,74548.1%840 W · 905 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Felix Gill77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.541272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf9…8292backed Felix Gill77c29.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7959157.7%341 W · 250 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2272…95a2backed Felix Gill77c26.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.037262.5%45 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Felix Gill77c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.982,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Felix Gill76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Felix Gill73c24.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7282659.3%490 W · 336 L+3.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Felix Gill77c22.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1519052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Felix Gill79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.339035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xef5d…530dbacked Felix Gill77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1594…48cebacked Felix Gill77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.