Euroleague · resolved market
Olimpia Milano vs. Saski Baskonia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x506d1af4710c0fb44c70393e957a1c9ce78b75306f5020e6aa87c1ba09bc461f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olimpia Milanoof Olimpia Milano, Saski Baskonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Saski Baskonia | 33c | 9,424$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olimpia Milano | 67c | 4,566$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.69 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Olimpia Milano | 67c | 3,291$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.6 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Olimpia Milano | 67c | 836$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.88 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Olimpia Milano | 75c | 533.73$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.73 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Saski Baskonia | 30c | 529.68$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olimpia Milano | 71c | 510.61$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.53 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Olimpia Milano | 68c | 358$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 349.82$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saski Baskonia | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Saski Baskonia | 30c | 217$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Saski Baskonia | 29c | 158.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Olimpia Milano | 70c | 142.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Olimpia Milano | 67c | 90.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked Saski Baskonia | 32c | 81.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Saski Baskonia | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…d25abacked Saski Baskonia | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Saski Baskonia | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Olimpia Milano | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saski Baskonia | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Saski Baskonia | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Olimpia Milano | 65c | 19.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Olimpia Milano | 69c | 16.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.