Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wichita: Justin Boulais vs Ozan Baris
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x507beb56661aafa32ae0ac76dfe77efe2f1685bcb30c1f0fb940cbd4eaa86bd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ozan Barisof Justin Boulais, Ozan Baris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Justin Boulais | 41c | 1,173$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Ozan Baris | 57c | 833.45$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.89 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ozan Baris | 50c | 659.72$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.12 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ozan Baris | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Justin Boulais | 40c | 551.11$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.57 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Justin Boulais | 53c | 414.85$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Justin Boulais | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ozan Baris | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f07…c21ebacked Justin Boulais | 77c | 114.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Justin Boulais | 46c | 109.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ozan Baris | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ozan Baris | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Justin Boulais | 36c | 95.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Justin Boulais | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Justin Boulais | 19c | 65.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Justin Boulais | 63c | 57.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Ozan Baris | 69c | 51.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa276…dcfabacked Justin Boulais | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…f77dbacked Justin Boulais | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Justin Boulais | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.