TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: FK CSKA 1948 Sofia (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FC Spartak Trnavaof FK CSKA 1948 Sofia, FC Spartak Trnava
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,864 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia19c2,758$521 inLost-$521.183,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia26c1,192$315 inLost-$314.92,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked FC Spartak Trnava72c1,000$720 inWon+$28096947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia30c990.78$297 inLost-$296.738042.5%34 W · 46 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia20c825.02$165 inLost-$16529959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia16c371.69$59 inLost-$59.4756849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FC Spartak Trnava70c296.23$208 inWon+$88.0281440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia17c254.57$43 inLost-$43.221,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed FC Spartak Trnava70c236.76$165 inWon+$71.9838144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked FK CSKA 1948 Sofia20c221.25$43 inLost-$43.443855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FK CSKA 1948 Sofia27c162.79$44 inLost-$43.952,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FC Spartak Trnava71c160.8$114 inWon+$46.5450154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked FK CSKA 1948 Sofia31c154.39$48 inLost-$47.865328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia16c142.89$23 inLost-$23.3476941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia23c100$23 inLost-$231526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia21c83.9$17 inLost-$17.3539357.5%226 W · 167 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed FC Spartak Trnava70c69$48 inWon+$20.737043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia20c52.67$11 inLost-$10.5319163.4%121 W · 70 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed FC Spartak Trnava76c50.1$38 inWon+$11.8585260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed FC Spartak Trnava76c42.52$33 inWon+$9.9958061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed FC Spartak Trnava69c42$29 inWon+$13.028261%50 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed FC Spartak Trnava75c38.09$29 inWon+$9.435667.9%38 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed FC Spartak Trnava80c35.56$28 inWon+$7.112,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked FC Spartak Trnava70c20.67$14 inWon+$6.23345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed FC Spartak Trnava72c17.86$13 inWon+$579354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed FC Spartak Trnava80c12.52$10 inWon+$2.511860.2%71 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.