Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50c92408874536dfc3d0f722f0caf4138ab404aafa5353bea945f5dd415190ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof Cloud9, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Cloud9 | 39c | 13,000$5,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,070 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked FlyQuest | 61c | 8,888$5,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.3 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked FlyQuest | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed FlyQuest | 60c | 1,169$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.95 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…d737backed Cloud9 | 46c | 896.26$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FlyQuest | 54c | 866.26$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.48 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed FlyQuest | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Cloud9 | 41c | 304.76$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FlyQuest | 52c | 265.83$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Cloud9 | 39c | 250$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 407 | 52.3%213 W · 194 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Cloud9 | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed Cloud9 | 48c | 236.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Cloud9 | 39c | 230.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cloud9 | 35c | 221.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…4a40backed FlyQuest | 61c | 164.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed FlyQuest | 63c | 160.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Cloud9 | 38c | 137.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Cloud9 | 38c | 89.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed FlyQuest | 64c | 70.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Cloud9 | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Cloud9 | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed FlyQuest | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…c6e0backed Cloud9 | 35c | 38.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed FlyQuest | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…09c1backed Cloud9 | 52c | 29.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked Cloud9 | 40c | 25.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed FlyQuest | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.