Premier League · resolved market
Preston North End FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50c930de472d4589cc12368e24f8dbf9b1cc0af07be00c718f778141c276c6d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 56c | 10,921$6,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,069.49 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 9,000$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.99 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 2,748$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.49 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 2,097$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.97 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 44c | 1,331$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.26 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 42c | 594$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.52 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 25c | 480$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 320.74$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.23 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 295.49$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 222$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.45 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 55c | 98.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 45c | 89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 44c | 70.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 44c | 66.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 55c | 41.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 46c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 44c | 33.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Over | 42c | 31.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 79c | 23.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Preston North End FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Preston North End FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Preston North End FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Preston North End FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.