Premier League · resolved market
Preston North End FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb172aa1de06cf96d58d62316760d3e9d9eda08c203fef098dfea831fa7ad91b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 24,316$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.63 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 77c | 1,777$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.92 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 21c | 1,249$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.29 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 24c | 607.7$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.46 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 14c | 487.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 310.3$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 29c | 256.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 44c | 239.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 46 | 82.6%38 W · 8 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 48c | 204.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 24c | 166.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 76c | 119.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 68c | 80.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 24c | 69.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Under | 78c | 62.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Over | 44c | 43.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Over | 25c | 40.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +10.2wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 40c | 38.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…6fd0backed Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…2157backed Under | 33c | 32.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Under | 75c | 28.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…4045backed Under | 77c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Under | 70c | 22.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 66c | 19.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Preston North End FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Preston North End FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Preston North End FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.