Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50e0ef2639a42edd7e38b5511d9f80f815ad99a67658041dfceea9bacba1de9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 74c | 333.63$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Over | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…ec08backed Under | 50c | 198.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b13…fc15backed Under | 50c | 196.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88b…4bc6backed Under | 50c | 195.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3870…10c0backed Under | 50c | 194.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b9…6782backed Under | 50c | 193.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…c7c0backed Under | 50c | 191.76$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c8…872bbacked Under | 50c | 187.11$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8626…acc2backed Under | 50c | 186.56$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9f…6d55backed Under | 50c | 186.19$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…821dbacked Under | 50c | 185.93$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914f…e477backed Under | 50c | 185.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8422…5907backed Under | 50c | 185.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…c3d8backed Under | 50c | 184.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…74bfbacked Under | 50c | 184.85$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…85e6backed Under | 50c | 184.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaad0…2980backed Under | 50c | 184.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…ba2cbacked Under | 50c | 184.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…57babacked Under | 50c | 184.02$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0937…99dfbacked Under | 50c | 183.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9b…1e98backed Under | 50c | 183.91$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…f99dbacked Under | 50c | 183.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c6…d9c3backed Under | 50c | 183.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1469…3a8abacked Under | 50c | 183.41$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad0…d55cbacked Under | 50c | 183.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…f86ebacked Under | 50c | 183.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f4…8c69backed Under | 50c | 183.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…0fadbacked Under | 50c | 182.95$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…f965backed Under | 50c | 182.26$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +173%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…cc3abacked Under | 50c | 181.79$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…65bfbacked Under | 50c | 181.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44df…7855backed Under | 50c | 180.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…14bcbacked Under | 50c | 180.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…e0fcbacked Under | 50c | 179.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…e9fbbacked Under | 50c | 179.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6267…7b54backed Under | 50c | 179.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa908…d716backed Under | 50c | 178.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…9d17backed Under | 50c | 178.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…8031backed Under | 50c | 178.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e3…5cb5backed Under | 50c | 178.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…2962backed Under | 50c | 178.14$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…467dbacked Under | 50c | 177.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…eb09backed Under | 50c | 177.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926b…84a7backed Under | 50c | 177.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b2…0cb6backed Under | 50c | 176.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…fea6backed Under | 50c | 176.76$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…27afbacked Under | 50c | 176.74$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5d…cb42backed Under | 50c | 176.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15f1…0e51backed Under | 50c | 175.67$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb14f…6655backed Under | 50c | 175.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…b722backed Under | 50c | 175.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfd…72debacked Under | 50c | 175.01$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…5b2ebacked Under | 50c | 174.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d32…2154backed Under | 50c | 174.47$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…43b6backed Under | 50c | 173.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c8…e7eabacked Under | 50c | 172.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…c5e0backed Under | 50c | 171.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…3e01backed Under | 50c | 171.21$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…4224backed Under | 50c | 169.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 32c | 166.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…4f82backed Under | 50c | 165.01$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…39dabacked Under | 50c | 164.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 26c | 78.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 19c | 66.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 55.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 74c | 42.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 74c | 26.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.