CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50fd94da3b3f34c6aa851d1e3e29e29c32e4aadf7c04b6ee6fabcb5bac01cdde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grêmio Esportsof Grêmio Esports, BESTIA Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked BESTIA Academy | 52c | 451.5$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.54 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…c16cbacked Grêmio Esports | 48c | 206.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed Grêmio Esports | 52c | 193.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…d1acbacked Grêmio Esports | 45c | 165.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.03 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7955…ce08backed Grêmio Esports | 50c | 150.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked BESTIA Academy | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed BESTIA Academy | 48c | 112$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked BESTIA Academy | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Grêmio Esports | 47c | 94.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Grêmio Esports | 48c | 93.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked BESTIA Academy | 54c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…33c4backed Grêmio Esports | 50c | 60.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BESTIA Academy | 55c | 57.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked BESTIA Academy | 49c | 50.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked BESTIA Academy | 39c | 39.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Grêmio Esports | 49c | 34.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Grêmio Esports | 40c | 33.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Grêmio Esports | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Grêmio Esports | 45c | 26.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…c735backed Grêmio Esports | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Grêmio Esports | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.