MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x514345f22dfab1ddefbf62326a40f1af1da12bdefcef0392de3a10d37f9990f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Texas Rangers, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Athletics | 50c | 14,805$7,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,402.5 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Athletics | 50c | 2,475$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.14 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Athletics | 51c | 2,444$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.4 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 1,618$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.44 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Athletics | 49c | 1,347$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.92 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…2155backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 544.2$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…1b5fbacked Athletics | 52c | 523.08$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 49c | 503.19$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.54 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc5…0544backed Athletics | 51c | 464.17$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…4e88backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 454$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…8b38backed Athletics | 50c | 303$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Athletics | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 133.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Athletics | 53c | 114.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6860…3ecbbacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 109.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 69.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Athletics | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Athletics | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 30.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.