Tennis · resolved market
Canadian Open, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Keegan Rice
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51654a2b94b92e815f91564e188c9461f2d7068075a0fcc79b29436a86b68983
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefanos Tsitsipasof Stefanos Tsitsipas, Keegan Rice
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Keegan Rice | 4c | 7,853$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.37 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Keegan Rice | 2c | 2,604$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Keegan Rice | 9c | 2,253$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.73 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Keegan Rice | 2c | 2,108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Keegan Rice | 7c | 2,039$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Keegan Rice | 8c | 1,373$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…0dabbacked Keegan Rice | 8c | 1,211$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Keegan Rice | 8c | 821.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 189 | 29.6%56 W · 133 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Keegan Rice | 9c | 698$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 364 | 34.3%125 W · 239 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Keegan Rice | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Keegan Rice | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Keegan Rice | 8c | 296.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keegan Rice | 10c | 291.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…2482backed Keegan Rice | 10c | 189.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Keegan Rice | 15c | 186$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Keegan Rice | 9c | 167$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Keegan Rice | 12c | 157$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Keegan Rice | 12c | 115.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 720 | 47.9%345 W · 375 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Keegan Rice | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadian Open, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Keegan Ricethis page
- Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Rice (+1.5)Tsitsipas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.