CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x517c173f301a6cc971c7777f50119ef3a9bcc3d9490237b1a1583b45655914f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prestigeof Prestige, ex-MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Prestige | 56c | 4,423$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.29 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 1,331$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-MANA eSports | 34c | 1,021$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.85 | 2,691 | 30.7%826 W · 1,865 L | -110.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked ex-MANA eSports | 47c | 516.89$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 237 | 37.6%89 W · 148 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-MANA eSports | 47c | 489.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.72 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Prestige | 59c | 313.5$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.17 | 427 | 73.1%312 W · 115 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,335 | 44%588 W · 747 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed ex-MANA eSports | 42c | 296.81$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 843 | 43.3%365 W · 478 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 28c | 274.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 38c | 212.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 2,816 | 37.6%1,060 W · 1,756 L | -138.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed ex-MANA eSports | 41c | 199.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Prestige | 59c | 196.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-MANA eSports | 22c | 196.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 43c | 162$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 2,441 | 42.9%1,047 W · 1,394 L | -72.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-MANA eSports | 12c | 146.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 2,484 | 24.7%613 W · 1,871 L | -318.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 41c | 137.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 16c | 116.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Prestige | 61c | 108.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed ex-MANA eSports | 46c | 103$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed ex-MANA eSports | 46c | 89.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 326 | 38.3%125 W · 201 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked ex-MANA eSports | 46c | 89.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 313 | 38.7%121 W · 192 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed ex-MANA eSports | 53c | 87.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 71c | 84.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 29c | 82.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 2,585 | 34.6%894 W · 1,691 L | -200.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked ex-MANA eSports | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Prestige | 62c | 70.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 2,674 | 51.9%1,388 W · 1,286 L | +25.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-MANA eSports | 39c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Prestige | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,192 | 47.4%1,040 W · 1,152 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-MANA eSports | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 2,422 | 46.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L | -56.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed ex-MANA eSports | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…bf5cbacked Prestige | 70c | 29.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-MANA eSports | 39c | 29.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-MANA eSports | 46c | 27.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2,237 | 43.2%966 W · 1,271 L | -70.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Prestige | 69c | 25.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-MANA eSports | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,589 | 41.2%1,066 W · 1,523 L | -123.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed ex-MANA eSports | 68c | 18.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Prestige | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Group DPrestige won
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerPrestige won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.