Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ali Yazdani vs Pedro Vives Marcos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51c2e5654a1f31e67f7b8ce385eda656da9133aceeb179cd79a7f44675a2bad8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pedro Vives Marcosof Ali Yazdani, Pedro Vives Marcos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ali Yazdani | 28c | 15,915$4,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455.62 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 71c | 14,253$10,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,156.04 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…ae4bbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 75c | 6,783$5,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.31 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ali Yazdani | 26c | 3,927$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.02 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Ali Yazdani | 59c | 737$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.14 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Ali Yazdani | 32c | 314.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Ali Yazdani | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Ali Yazdani | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Ali Yazdani | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 63c | 167.91$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ali Yazdani | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Ali Yazdani | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 70c | 142.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 30c | 119.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 39c | 107.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Ali Yazdani | 29c | 93.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 66c | 91.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 306 | 47.7%146 W · 160 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 30c | 69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 66c | 59.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 69c | 46.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 62c | 27.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 67c | 23.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.