Other European Leagues · resolved market
Brøndby IF vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x526e69ea4af435444d4eb03d5fafe5534aa02dd6393f7bb0d53ef337e6c228cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 1c | 2,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -69%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 78c | 1,579$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 44c | 1,349$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.43 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Over | 65c | 999.97$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 3c | 666.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 46c | 657.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 60c | 498.52$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 47c | 423.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 373.65$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.63 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 19c | 258.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 6c | 256.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 61c | 225$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 203.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 197.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 11c | 185$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 49c | 172.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 76c | 114.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 54.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 34c | 39.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 49c | 30.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 35c | 29.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 40c | 26.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 55c | 23.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brøndby IF vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 2.5this page
- Brøndby IF vs. Silkeborg IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Silkeborg IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brøndby IF vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brøndby IF vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-1.5)Brøndby IF won
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-2.5)Silkeborg IF won
- Spread: Silkeborg IF (-1.5)Brøndby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.