Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5296c1647ca74f0d1ed9e4ca63ed74897de8874b544c9af537703ee8d6d54948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,311 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 616.97$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.31 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 499.6$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.45 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 32c | 291.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.63 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 71c | 278.61$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.81 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…9967backed Yes | 73c | 274.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 51c | 250.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 28c | 247$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.95 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 31c | 237.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.64 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 168.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 69c | 157$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 33c | 136.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 31c | 104.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 34c | 75.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 35c | 75.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…2c29backed No | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 28c | 74.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Yes | 19c | 71.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 30c | 69.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 68.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 31c | 63.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 69c | 50.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 30c | 49.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 80c | 47.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 69c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 61c | 38.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Yes | 26c | 38.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 55c | 26.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 71c | 16.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Hibernian FC vs. Livingston FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Livingston FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.