Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs ALTERNATE aTTaX - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52cb78d6887b9fa69435f8d8c772535528e0dfdbcd97c81aa149f75fe325e09c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALTERNATE aTTaXof Dortmund eSports, ALTERNATE aTTaX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 43c | 3,140$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.07 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…39d8backed Dortmund eSports | 66c | 2,486$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 64c | 1,594$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.08 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 64c | 1,460$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.32 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 43c | 925.48$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.86 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Dortmund eSports | 59c | 560.08$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.25 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 36c | 513.33$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.08 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dortmund eSports | 29c | 511.46$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Dortmund eSports | 31c | 480.91$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.08 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 36c | 387.72$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.24 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Dortmund eSports | 65c | 350$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 44c | 343.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Dortmund eSports | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 45c | 241.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 36c | 146.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Dortmund eSports | 33c | 54.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Dortmund eSports | 51c | 49.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dortmund eSports | 43c | 48.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 24c | 47.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 34c | 33.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 60c | 29.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs ALTERNATE aTTaX - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs ALTERNATE aTTaX (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group StageALTERNATE aTTaX won
- Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs ALTERNATE aTTaX - Map 1 WinnerDortmund eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.