TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs ALTERNATE aTTaX (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ALTERNATE aTTaXof Dortmund eSports, ALTERNATE aTTaX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,362

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,193 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2924…0f31backed ALTERNATE aTTaX61c4,694$2,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.7330147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX52c3,059$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.3610863%68 W · 40 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX68c2,966$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.5394361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Dortmund eSports41c2,862$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.8970251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2837…39d8backed Dortmund eSports58c2,049$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.922138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-38.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Dortmund eSports30c1,663$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.7210238.2%39 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Dortmund eSports49c1,492$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.5854342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX60c1,349$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.0819248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed ALTERNATE aTTaX62c1,252$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.1432462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Dortmund eSports35c1,000$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.254736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed Dortmund eSports46c794.28$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.054755.3%26 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX70c692.15$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.8577744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Dortmund eSports32c633.54$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3168949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed ALTERNATE aTTaX49c616.43$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.939041.1%37 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ALTERNATE aTTaX42c591.17$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.111,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Dortmund eSports38c575.92$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21845033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX40c569.72$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.051,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe9…4a83backed Dortmund eSports49c513.03$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.383125.8%8 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed ALTERNATE aTTaX20c470.66$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.7218735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Dortmund eSports41c463.74$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9569722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX57c404.77$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX51c365.12$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.251,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed ALTERNATE aTTaX57c324.29$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.916648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Dortmund eSports32c300$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.56533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed ALTERNATE aTTaX25c294.89$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+302.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Dortmund eSports53c289.51$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1430835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed ALTERNATE aTTaX76c274.74$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.148158%47 W · 34 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed ALTERNATE aTTaX45c272.7$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8734739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed ALTERNATE aTTaX55c272.38$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.799551.6%49 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Dortmund eSports28c268.08$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9346326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed ALTERNATE aTTaX64c259.02$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9599846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Dortmund eSports48c255.16$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.157954.4%43 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Dortmund eSports54c249.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.994742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Dortmund eSports35c231.04$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3477929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Dortmund eSports35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706045%27 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX65c198.39$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1114533.8%49 W · 96 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d91…b09abacked ALTERNATE aTTaX39c191.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.781040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed ALTERNATE aTTaX67c177.61$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4824751.8%128 W · 119 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Dortmund eSports31c165.15$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3626730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x025c…8c60backed Dortmund eSports66c147.37$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Dortmund eSports18c143$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.231,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Dortmund eSports27c133$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5813336.8%49 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed ALTERNATE aTTaX42c126.32$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.624250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Dortmund eSports33c125.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8426932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Dortmund eSports31c125$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1414436.1%52 W · 92 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Dortmund eSports77c124.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3117654.5%96 W · 80 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed ALTERNATE aTTaX39c123.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.341573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+57.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Dortmund eSports33c119$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.115839.2%62 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd5…84c4backed ALTERNATE aTTaX43c115.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.462564%16 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed ALTERNATE aTTaX50c110.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.965752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x525d…1f1bbacked Dortmund eSports63c108.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Dortmund eSports29c106.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.99133%30 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed ALTERNATE aTTaX60c105.7$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.749561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Dortmund eSports48c104.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.721,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Dortmund eSports48c102.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1519661.7%121 W · 75 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked ALTERNATE aTTaX64c98.94$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.986250%31 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed ALTERNATE aTTaX70c95.89$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2427947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Dortmund eSports75c90$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.341656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Dortmund eSports56c87.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.673327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cb4…7c31backed ALTERNATE aTTaX77c86.02$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Dortmund eSports44c79.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.611,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Dortmund eSports60c78.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4814729.9%44 W · 103 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX44c77.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2831227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed ALTERNATE aTTaX38c75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.57163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed Dortmund eSports49c68.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.693542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Dortmund eSports49c67.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.122542.7%96 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed ALTERNATE aTTaX39c61.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.671566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Dortmund eSports34c60.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7257517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5647…8237backed Dortmund eSports59c59.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf6…2117backed Dortmund eSports47c55.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.111540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Dortmund eSports33c54.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8415512.3%19 W · 136 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed ALTERNATE aTTaX36c53.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.465451.9%28 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Dortmund eSports26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312243.4%53 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Dortmund eSports35c48.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0563652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Dortmund eSports43c48.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7611232.1%36 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a7d…d99cbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX45c42.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.171471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Dortmund eSports63c41.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.321,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX42c39.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7761035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed ALTERNATE aTTaX36c33.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.545962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.982650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Dortmund eSports56c29.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.368942.7%38 W · 51 L-13.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-27.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Dortmund eSports36c29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4411841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Dortmund eSports37c28.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6823447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf892…e36cbacked Dortmund eSports69c28.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.631457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4073…39f8backed Dortmund eSports77c25.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed ALTERNATE aTTaX58c25.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8541537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Dortmund eSports46c25.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.639346.2%43 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX47c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1936648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked ALTERNATE aTTaX74c22.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8615754.1%85 W · 72 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Dortmund eSports73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.3wins-0.33per pick56cpaid-65.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe7cd…6fbabacked Dortmund eSports71c16.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.81546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.