Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52e95bc9fadd148b85ad416c4e170cbe0bd37ec2c6977a009b99d14f29e4bce2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof Team Liquid, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 6,061$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.01 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FlyQuest | 60c | 4,369$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.69 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Team Liquid | 41c | 4,309$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.69 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed FlyQuest | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FlyQuest | 61c | 888$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.76 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Liquid | 40c | 548.08$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.23 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FlyQuest | 60c | 505.08$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.93 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c58ebacked FlyQuest | 60c | 503.8$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.52 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed FlyQuest | 60c | 209$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed FlyQuest | 59c | 205$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked FlyQuest | 60c | 180.06$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Team Liquid | 40c | 122.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed FlyQuest | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed FlyQuest | 59c | 99.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FlyQuest | 58c | 97.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 92.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 42c | 71.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…7527backed Team Liquid | 47c | 62.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…82e8backed Team Liquid | 42c | 54.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed FlyQuest | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked FlyQuest | 60c | 48.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Team Liquid | 41c | 44.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed FlyQuest | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2941…7850backed FlyQuest | 60c | 33.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked FlyQuest | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed FlyQuest | 54c | 21.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsFlyQuest won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.