Lol · resolved market
LoL: Baam Esports vs Witchcraft - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x530774cd16a0e80ecc7e3d56af4bd4ea186281f7f756987929b8448932a41cdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Witchcraftof Baam Esports, Witchcraft
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,304 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Baam Esports | 1c | 1,653$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Baam Esports | 17c | 1,233$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.89 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Baam Esports | 16c | 849.65$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.11 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Baam Esports | 11c | 684.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Baam Esports | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Witchcraft | 80c | 230.63$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Witchcraft | 74c | 157.18$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Baam Esports | 9c | 154.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Baam Esports | 33c | 123.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Baam Esports | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Witchcraft | 80c | 73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Witchcraft | 80c | 71.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Baam Esports | 21c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Baam Esports | 20c | 59.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…8602backed Witchcraft | 80c | 31.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…6a55backed Witchcraft | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Witchcraft | 61c | 20.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Witchcraft | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Baam Esports vs Witchcraft - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: Witchcraft (-1.5) vs Baam Esports (+1.5)Witchcraft won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Baam Esports vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 4Witchcraft won
- LoL: Baam Esports vs Witchcraft - Game 2 WinnerWitchcraft won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.