Lol · resolved market
LoL: Baam Esports vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 4
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff54a9aa0dd27395971c41c554e96a96b930b0b474ef60c8de4fae0d413b9440
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Witchcraftof Baam Esports, Witchcraft
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,467 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Baam Esports | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Baam Esports | 8c | 3,242$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.27 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Baam Esports | 8c | 1,975$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Baam Esports | 11c | 1,056$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…ed08backed Baam Esports | 8c | 662.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 122 | 20.5%25 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Baam Esports | 11c | 608$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Baam Esports | 8c | 599.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baam Esports | 3c | 584.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 259 | 23.2%60 W · 199 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Baam Esports | 10c | 340.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Baam Esports | 8c | 257.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Baam Esports | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Baam Esports | 7c | 221.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Baam Esports | 55c | 199.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Baam Esports | 34c | 199.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Baam Esports | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Baam Esports | 11c | 149.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Witchcraft | 38c | 67.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Witchcraft | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Baam Esports vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 4this page
- Game Handicap: Witchcraft (-1.5) vs Baam Esports (+1.5)Witchcraft won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Baam Esports vs Witchcraft - Game 1 WinnerWitchcraft won
- LoL: Baam Esports vs Witchcraft - Game 2 WinnerWitchcraft won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.