Tennis · resolved market
Troyes: Kilian Feldbausch vs Inaki Montes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x530b5bea9944c7ee122ce83978f55bd8373bf13f6f5a064b3a076b63973ed0f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kilian Feldbauschof Kilian Feldbausch, Inaki Montes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Inaki Montes | 10c | 23,604$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.82 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kilian Feldbausch | 79c | 8,861$6,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.2 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Inaki Montes | 9c | 3,751$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.89 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Inaki Montes | 24c | 2,533$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Inaki Montes | 25c | 2,482$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.23 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Inaki Montes | 20c | 1,826$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.08 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kilian Feldbausch | 64c | 1,555$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.98 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kilian Feldbausch | 78c | 1,210$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.18 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kilian Feldbausch | 74c | 1,110$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Inaki Montes | 15c | 894.24$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.67 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Kilian Feldbausch | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 117 | 66.7%78 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Inaki Montes | 46c | 652.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Inaki Montes | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Inaki Montes | 37c | 500$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.55 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Kilian Feldbausch | 54c | 423$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.58 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Kilian Feldbausch | 58c | 403.55$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.55 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Inaki Montes | 25c | 276.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kilian Feldbausch | 78c | 234.59$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Inaki Montes | 27c | 217.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Kilian Feldbausch | 76c | 208.9$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Inaki Montes | 16c | 201.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kilian Feldbausch | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Kilian Feldbausch | 73c | 198.49$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…819bbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 54c | 184.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 75c | 177$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Inaki Montes | 9c | 170.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Kilian Feldbausch | 79c | 167.25$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Inaki Montes | 46c | 156.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kilian Feldbausch | 72c | 150.15$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 64c | 140$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kilian Feldbausch | 66c | 103.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Inaki Montes | 46c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a69…4483backed Kilian Feldbausch | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Inaki Montes | 27c | 72.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Inaki Montes | 16c | 67.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Kilian Feldbausch | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Inaki Montes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 80c | 47.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Kilian Feldbausch | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062c…24d5backed Inaki Montes | 41c | 37.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Kilian Feldbausch | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Inaki Montes | 46c | 35.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kilian Feldbausch | 73c | 28.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kilian Feldbausch | 80c | 22.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Kilian Feldbausch | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 73c | 20.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Kilian Feldbausch | 75c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 800 | 51%408 W · 392 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Kilian Feldbausch | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 75c | 13.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.