Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Gonzalo Villanueva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5325fdf8967e4133dd3ba394d26acf201838e766d40a2138c72abee80e029fa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joverof Jover, Villanueva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Jover | 52c | 955.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.66 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Villanueva | 3c | 707.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Villanueva | 48c | 618.01$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.64 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Villanueva | 16c | 521.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Villanueva | 14c | 443.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Villanueva | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Jover | 53c | 378.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.44 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Jover | 53c | 377.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.07 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Villanueva | 47c | 251.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.42 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Villanueva | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Jover | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Jover | 52c | 192.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Villanueva | 46c | 186.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Jover | 54c | 185.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jover | 52c | 150.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Jover | 54c | 148.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Villanueva | 47c | 148.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Villanueva | 48c | 126.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Villanueva | 48c | 120.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Villanueva | 45c | 115.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Villanueva | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Villanueva | 21c | 92.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Villanueva | 25c | 90.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Villanueva | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Jover | 50c | 82.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Villanueva | 47c | 79.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Villanueva | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Jover | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Villanueva | 47c | 53.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Jover | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Villanueva | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…39b1backed Jover | 68c | 30.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Villanueva | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Jover | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Villanueva | 49c | 29.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…3809backed Jover | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…34e7backed Villanueva | 49c | 24.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Villanueva | 49c | 24.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Jover | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Villanueva | 49c | 20.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…ae69backed Jover | 52c | 19.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.