Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x534a85f48f51cede6f828e77d5b6ce39fae98cc047ea962635fb2ff3226ff20a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,749 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Under | 56c | 11,137$6,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900.44 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Over | 44c | 1,835$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.4 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Over | 44c | 1,735$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.47 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 44c | 1,663$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.25 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 44c | 1,466$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…bbcebacked Over | 44c | 908.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked Over | 44c | 779.4$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.44 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 44c | 629.2$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.85 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Over | 44c | 575$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 44c | 532.34$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.23 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…a6b0backed Over | 43c | 451.75$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…4925backed Over | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 57c | 438$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Over | 44c | 294$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 42c | 199.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Over | 44c | 185$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Under | 58c | 184.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed Over | 44c | 154.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 44c | 137$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed Under | 57c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Over | 42c | 37.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82a…ef47backed Over | 44c | 28.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 57c | 19.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 2UCAM Esports Club won
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.