CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5355cb6a7dd8064b94b7b9108add9858a59a41b231ccfcf72063fe3aaea664cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Black Phoenixof Black Phoenix, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf03c…add8backed Black Phoenix | 57c | 1,745$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.84 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 276.5$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.19 | 373 | 38.6%144 W · 229 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 245.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 426 | 44.4%189 W · 237 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…107bbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 213.06$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed Rune Eaters | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 109.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 274 | 42.7%117 W · 157 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 487 | 46.6%227 W · 260 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Rune Eaters | 26c | 65.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,685 | 32.7%551 W · 1,134 L | -48.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…b0e5backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 52.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 50.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +15.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…ffdbbacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 50.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bd…a6c5backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 49.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Black Phoenix | 71c | 41.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Rune Eaters | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…13e3backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 27.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Black Phoenix | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 123 | 75.6%93 W · 30 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…c83abacked Black Phoenix | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 44 | 88.6%39 W · 5 L | +8.3wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
- Map Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)Black Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.