CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53e7b390ff01d4f4a5c880eb59544752dc44f3dc6675a92d89e162efdd480581
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Black Phoenixof Black Phoenix, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6860…6279backed Rune Eaters | 0c | 68,472$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Black Phoenix | 51c | 15,590$7,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,656.5 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.99 | 712 | 51.7%368 W · 344 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 4,301$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 2,973$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.57 | 1,710 | 53.2%909 W · 801 L | +65.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 2,641$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.18 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009d…b146backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Black Phoenix | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.07 | 631 | 56.4%356 W · 275 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 1,423$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.01 | 2,697 | 52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L | +30.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 1,337$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.95 | 422 | 41.9%177 W · 245 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa91a…ddacbacked Black Phoenix | 53c | 1,291$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.61 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…9340backed Black Phoenix | 54c | 1,248$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.09 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 871$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.08 | 426 | 44.4%189 W · 237 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…f2d0backed Black Phoenix | 52c | 855.66$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.07 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 814.98$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.89 | 368 | 25.5%94 W · 274 L | -18.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 792.59$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.44 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 759.05$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.7 | 114 | 71.1%81 W · 33 L | +18.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 702.3$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.95 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 622$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.34 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 599.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 1,051 | 49%515 W · 536 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 592.92$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.74 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Black Phoenix | 49c | 583.63$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.97 | 500 | 55.2%276 W · 224 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Black Phoenix | 53c | 569$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.43 | 223 | 53.8%120 W · 103 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 537.83$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.67 | 634 | 54.6%346 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Black Phoenix | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…fefbbacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 449.64$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.33 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 435.89$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.23 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…80f8backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 398.41$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -9.1wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 390.13$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 468 | 42.7%200 W · 268 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 379.74$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.1 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,954 | 37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L | +77.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 320.76$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.42 | 521 | 55.1%287 W · 234 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 312.78$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 309.17$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 299.95$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 290$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 28c | 280.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 260.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c2…6338backed Black Phoenix | 54c | 257.29$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 251.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 213.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 210.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 199.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 216 | 47.2%102 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 199.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.21 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 197.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 623 | 42.7%266 W · 357 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 190.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 386 | 50.5%195 W · 191 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 182.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Black Phoenix | 48c | 158.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 156.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 149$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Black Phoenix | 69c | 135.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 130.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Black Phoenix | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +19.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…29ffbacked Black Phoenix | 62c | 128.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 125.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…10d7backed Black Phoenix | 51c | 107$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 174 | 37.4%65 W · 109 L | -13.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 101.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 99.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 529 | 52.7%279 W · 250 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Black Phoenix | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 870 | 55.9%486 W · 384 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Black Phoenix | 54c | 75.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Black Phoenix | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +23.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Black Phoenix | 53c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 356 | 63.5%226 W · 130 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 64.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 64.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 239 | 52.7%126 W · 113 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…ffdbbacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 64.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 63.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 346 | 57.5%199 W · 147 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 58.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…f2eabacked Black Phoenix | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Black Phoenix | 62c | 51.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Black Phoenix | 47c | 48.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 253 | 50.6%128 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 47.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 591 | 34.7%205 W · 386 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 299 | 50.8%152 W · 147 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 40.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 255 | 66.7%170 W · 85 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Black Phoenix | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 39.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 35.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…bf3fbacked Black Phoenix | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 562 | 44%247 W · 315 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Black Phoenix | 49c | 27.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 446 | 56.1%250 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 27.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 27.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Black Phoenix | 48c | 26.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Black Phoenix | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b4…4ab8backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +15.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…e6edbacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…3502backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 19.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…df3bbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 19.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 60cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
- Map Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)Black Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.