Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53b377737bc42bc7c049992b2acaeade8cd5d02f548d5b637dacdc5d0c60ba26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Pipsqueak+4, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Pipsqueak+4 | 1c | 4,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Power Rangers | 62c | 2,549$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.86 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Power Rangers | 62c | 1,735$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.1 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Power Rangers | 50c | 1,690$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.9 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Pipsqueak+4 | 33c | 1,517$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 1,488$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.73 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Pipsqueak+4 | 19c | 1,415$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.61 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 1,309$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.2 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Power Rangers | 50c | 969.99$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 890$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 31c | 888.66$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.62 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Power Rangers | 74c | 806.36$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.6 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 54c | 693.71$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.6 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Power Rangers | 76c | 555.92$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.51 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers | 68c | 512.79$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.31 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Power Rangers | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Power Rangers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 496.64$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.32 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 54c | 486.2$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Pipsqueak+4 | 55c | 472.92$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.82 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Power Rangers | 45c | 419.84$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.91 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 26c | 380$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 15c | 379.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Power Rangers | 45c | 366.71$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.69 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 55c | 353.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.68 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Power Rangers | 79c | 331.29$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 50c | 309.62$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.85 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers | 69c | 295.53$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 267.34$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Power Rangers | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Power Rangers | 53c | 199.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 193.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Pipsqueak+4 | 28c | 141.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Power Rangers | 46c | 136.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Power Rangers | 53c | 108.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 23c | 106$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed Power Rangers | 52c | 103.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Power Rangers | 66c | 100.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 27c | 98.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pipsqueak+4 | 20c | 98.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Power Rangers | 63c | 84.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Pipsqueak+4 | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Pipsqueak+4 | 25c | 74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Power Rangers | 80c | 69.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 54c | 68.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 24c | 65.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed Power Rangers | 78c | 62.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Pipsqueak+4 | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Power Rangers | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f0…b6c5backed Power Rangers | 77c | 42.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Power Rangers | 74c | 41.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Power Rangers | 61c | 41.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 41.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…515dbacked Power Rangers | 46c | 31.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Power Rangers | 76c | 19.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…f7b7backed Power Rangers | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Power Rangers | 76c | 15.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Power Rangers (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group BPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.