TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Power Rangers (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Power Rangersof Pipsqueak+4, Power Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,039
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,039 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Pipsqueak+448c3,984$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.5134544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed Power Rangers52c3,873$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.3411742.7%50 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Power Rangers52c2,450$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.795761.4%35 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Power Rangers51c2,062$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.6761745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Power Rangers51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9724251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Pipsqueak+450c1,915$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.621,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Power Rangers68c1,899$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.262,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Pipsqueak+436c1,725$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.091,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers68c1,464$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.772,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Pipsqueak+433c1,172$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.8153844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Pipsqueak+448c1,115$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.7725549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Power Rangers58c920.25$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.061,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Pipsqueak+449c869.69$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.7396245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Power Rangers67c765.92$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.2867043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Pipsqueak+450c765.44$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.199946.5%46 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Power Rangers49c742.27$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.5680256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdfa…7491backed Pipsqueak+450c678.19$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.566544.6%29 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Pipsqueak+447c610.53$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.0680544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Pipsqueak+435c585.6$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.187231.9%23 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Power Rangers50c584.78$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.837342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Power Rangers76c567.9$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8712966.7%86 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8001…3da4backed Pipsqueak+447c456.73$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.062339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x43af…4413backed Pipsqueak+448c449.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf0…4046backed Power Rangers57c436.9$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.874259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked Power Rangers57c420.13$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5323555.7%131 W · 104 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Pipsqueak+449c395.52$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.89156%51 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Pipsqueak+446c384.43$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9355147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Pipsqueak+420c378.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8813647.1%64 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Power Rangers53c369.28$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5614849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Pipsqueak+432c355.27$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7325639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Power Rangers55c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2214251.4%73 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e2b…7fc1backed Power Rangers51c286.57$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1413262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Power Rangers75c283.8$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.432580%20 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Pipsqueak+420c265.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.452817.9%5 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-53.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5cab…f49abacked Power Rangers78c256.52$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2e9…ce05backed Power Rangers78c252.64$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ece…7c1ebacked Power Rangers69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Pipsqueak+418c249.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9319440.7%79 W · 115 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Pipsqueak+47c249.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.312825%7 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Pipsqueak+448c223.9$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4741050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Pipsqueak+450c217.66$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8351751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Pipsqueak+450c216.12$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0625444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce9…e3e2backed Power Rangers49c205.28$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.771258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x912a…8b22backed Power Rangers51c204.08$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Power Rangers63c203.92$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9264547.8%308 W · 337 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1298…97b6backed Pipsqueak+449c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.94825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Pipsqueak+449c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9451550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd08…2c93backed Pipsqueak+449c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9416752.7%88 W · 79 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed Pipsqueak+439c197.16$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1946150.8%234 W · 227 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Power Rangers65c195.8$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5315064.7%97 W · 53 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x581a…9195backed Power Rangers76c188.44$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Power Rangers49c176.46$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0829240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pipsqueak+450c160$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.277256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Power Rangers48c157.01$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6523653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Pipsqueak+418c154.03$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.732924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-49%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Pipsqueak+417c151.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.679341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pipsqueak+426c145.25$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.741,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Power Rangers66c143.82$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9723736.7%87 W · 150 L-17.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc26f…ce3bbacked Power Rangers61c141.04$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.15950.8%30 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Power Rangers60c129.83$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.036245.2%28 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers67c122.53$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.432,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed Power Rangers76c121.23$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.092751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Power Rangers78c118.7$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0425547.8%122 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x984b…88fbbacked Power Rangers68c116.61$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.315160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked Power Rangers49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.120738.6%80 W · 127 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x095e…beb0backed Power Rangers61c106.77$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Power Rangers66c103.48$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8534045.9%156 W · 184 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Pipsqueak+427c101.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9636138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Power Rangers51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4920838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Power Rangers60c97.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.041361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8268…8534backed Power Rangers51c95.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Pipsqueak+446c94.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.713351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Power Rangers65c94.31$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.198950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Power Rangers64c93.41$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5720954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked Pipsqueak+437c90.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7376048.6%369 W · 391 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x922d…d82bbacked Power Rangers71c90.84$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.341346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Pipsqueak+448c85.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4150247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Pipsqueak+441c79.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4691356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed Pipsqueak+448c77.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4313731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Power Rangers65c72.25$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2912252.5%64 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85fa…16afbacked Pipsqueak+449c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d28…3f47backed Pipsqueak+432c59.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d1…b4c8backed Pipsqueak+433c58.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.195525.5%14 W · 41 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Pipsqueak+437c57.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5695841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb818…6611backed Pipsqueak+418c56.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Pipsqueak+419c54.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6114652.1%76 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6989…3dd3backed Power Rangers69c51.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Power Rangers65c50.91$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8216839.9%67 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Power Rangers51c50.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.783148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c6d…f6d2backed Pipsqueak+444c50.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e1d…f786backed Power Rangers59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Pipsqueak+429c49.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4441244.7%184 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…9ab8backed Pipsqueak+451c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.277755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Pipsqueak+450c45.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3737223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Pipsqueak+448c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3858152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Pipsqueak+437c40.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9514353.8%77 W · 66 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Power Rangers64c40.01$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.321,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e8…2dcabacked Power Rangers52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Power Rangers68c37.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8389938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92f3…3386backed Power Rangers52c31.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.