CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Julie&cie - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53df2b156e0c4358131a7fabd69a0df38cfa330140943ec8765e631fc44cc773
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Subtop De Franceof Subtop De France, Julie&cie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Subtop De France | 76c | 2,432$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.28 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Julie&cie | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Julie&cie | 36c | 1,756$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.07 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Subtop De France | 55c | 847.21$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.2 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Subtop De France | 48c | 801.99$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Subtop De France | 52c | 781.6$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.6 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Julie&cie | 35c | 737.01$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.26 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Julie&cie | 44c | 722.43$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.58 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Julie&cie | 28c | 707$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.44 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Subtop De France | 51c | 705.93$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.83 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Julie&cie | 32c | 697.2$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.86 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Subtop De France | 73c | 609.98$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.63 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Subtop De France | 55c | 601$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.21 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Julie&cie | 47c | 576$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.93 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Julie&cie | 34c | 358.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.65 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Julie&cie | 49c | 315.26$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Julie&cie | 32c | 206.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Subtop De France | 54c | 186.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Subtop De France | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Subtop De France | 47c | 148$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Julie&cie | 22c | 143.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked Julie&cie | 34c | 138.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Julie&cie | 54c | 127.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Julie&cie | 48c | 127$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Julie&cie | 51c | 102.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Subtop De France | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Subtop De France | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Julie&cie | 32c | 98.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Subtop De France | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Julie&cie | 49c | 98.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Subtop De France | 52c | 97.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed Subtop De France | 62c | 81.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Julie&cie | 37c | 77.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Julie&cie | 24c | 58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Julie&cie | 40c | 57.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Subtop De France | 70c | 50.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Subtop De France | 68c | 50.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…376fbacked Julie&cie | 31c | 46.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…4829backed Subtop De France | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Julie&cie | 33c | 34.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Julie&cie | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Julie&cie | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Julie&cie | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Julie&cie | 42c | 29.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Subtop De France | 69c | 28.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…9164backed Julie&cie | 44c | 24.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Subtop De France | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Julie&cie - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Julie&cie (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsSubtop De France won
- Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Julie&cie - Map 1 WinnerSubtop De France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.