CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Julie&cie - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c8567b29a5f69233ee7d96ada7bd5f17d7e03660e86557d96f651d64dc2a209
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Subtop De Franceof Subtop De France, Julie&cie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2526…218ebacked Subtop De France | 64c | 7,706$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.37 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Subtop De France | 62c | 6,615$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.27 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Julie&cie | 30c | 3,167$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.28 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Julie&cie | 29c | 2,726$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.87 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Julie&cie | 32c | 2,420$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.27 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Julie&cie | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Subtop De France | 65c | 1,440$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.77 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Julie&cie | 42c | 1,424$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.72 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Julie&cie | 19c | 1,321$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.14 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Julie&cie | 34c | 1,275$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.01 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Julie&cie | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Julie&cie | 34c | 666$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Julie&cie | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Julie&cie | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Subtop De France | 79c | 572.22$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Julie&cie | 24c | 450$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Julie&cie | 42c | 413.14$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.83 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Julie&cie | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Julie&cie | 34c | 382.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Julie&cie | 21c | 380.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Julie&cie | 22c | 370.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Julie&cie | 22c | 368$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.37 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Julie&cie | 24c | 309.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Julie&cie | 14c | 230.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Julie&cie | 42c | 220$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Julie&cie | 18c | 207$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Julie&cie | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Julie&cie | 19c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Julie&cie | 19c | 196.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Subtop De France | 80c | 194.47$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Julie&cie | 6c | 182$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…74e8backed Julie&cie | 46c | 169.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Julie&cie | 18c | 164$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Subtop De France | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Julie&cie | 32c | 158.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Julie&cie | 46c | 152.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…bcb1backed Julie&cie | 44c | 146$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Julie&cie | 43c | 140.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked Julie&cie | 17c | 135.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Julie&cie | 19c | 107.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Julie&cie | 42c | 102.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Julie&cie | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Julie&cie | 42c | 97.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Julie&cie | 34c | 95.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Julie&cie | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Julie&cie | 45c | 93.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Subtop De France | 78c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Julie&cie | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Julie&cie | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…08f8backed Julie&cie | 24c | 75.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Julie&cie | 35c | 72.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Julie&cie | 46c | 62.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Subtop De France | 76c | 62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…7f31backed Julie&cie | 32c | 61.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Subtop De France | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Julie&cie | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…9b71backed Julie&cie | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…376fbacked Julie&cie | 39c | 31.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed Subtop De France | 49c | 30.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Julie&cie | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Subtop De France | 73c | 26.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Subtop De France | 71c | 26.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Subtop De France | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Subtop De France | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed Julie&cie | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Subtop De France | 63c | 22.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Subtop De France | 79c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Subtop De France | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Subtop De France | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Julie&cie - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Julie&cie (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsSubtop De France won
- Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Julie&cie - Map 2 WinnerSubtop De France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.