CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Just Swing - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x541cc33f8748b3d234f78ca57f2292dba96c4ea8fd904a2fdd2984420948b7af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Swingof Vitalem Aerem, Just Swing
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Just Swing | 48c | 392.88$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.1 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Vitalem Aerem | 26c | 186.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vitalem Aerem | 35c | 146.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Just Swing | 36c | 112.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…1e02backed Vitalem Aerem | 35c | 111.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Vitalem Aerem | 67c | 85.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 1,496 | 52.9%791 W · 705 L | +30.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Vitalem Aerem | 34c | 81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Just Swing | 62c | 73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Vitalem Aerem | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Just Swing | 73c | 29.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Just Swing | 59c | 24.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Just Swing | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Just Swing | 71c | 14.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 718 | 42.3%304 W · 414 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Just Swing - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Just Swing (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 PlayoffsJust Swing won
- Counter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Just Swing - Map 1 WinnerJust Swing won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.