CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: maybe vs JAM - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54f4d248bc6000cf548bbc23c331ef9ed092f30bb6c270449fa9a2409a06f203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- maybeof maybe, JAM
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9307…9da3backed maybe | 59c | 1,013$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.82 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed JAM | 43c | 938.25$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.05 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…7668backed JAM | 32c | 773.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…6383backed JAM | 56c | 553.41$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.47 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12e…bb43backed JAM | 59c | 510.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed maybe | 55c | 490.77$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.07 | 660 | 72.4%478 W · 182 L | +117.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x78dd…3235backed JAM | 56c | 489.87$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.14 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed maybe | 43c | 415.75$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.89 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked maybe | 64c | 375.47$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked maybe | 58c | 304.91$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed maybe | 51c | 254$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.46 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…b4e9backed JAM | 66c | 220$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked maybe | 76c | 211.52$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked maybe | 48c | 209.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked JAM | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed JAM | 55c | 188.4$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…bc59backed maybe | 36c | 185$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.29 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed JAM | 21c | 160.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed JAM | 63c | 158.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…1411backed JAM | 70c | 139.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked maybe | 41c | 136.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…d318backed maybe | 37c | 135.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed maybe | 64c | 126.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 357 | 48.2%172 W · 185 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked maybe | 38c | 124.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked maybe | 50c | 120.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked JAM | 27c | 116.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed JAM | 28c | 109$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed maybe | 66c | 75.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked maybe | 52c | 71.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked JAM | 62c | 71.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked maybe | 51c | 69.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked maybe | 46c | 68.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked maybe | 38c | 66.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked JAM | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed JAM | 20c | 60.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 414 | 39.1%162 W · 252 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…9633backed JAM | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…11a2backed maybe | 50c | 58.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed maybe | 42c | 50.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 490 | 50.6%248 W · 242 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed maybe | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed JAM | 34c | 42.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed maybe | 36c | 41.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked maybe | 36c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed JAM | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed maybe | 64c | 37.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 834 | 43.6%364 W · 470 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed JAM | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed JAM | 40c | 32.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked maybe | 50c | 28.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x599e…6578backed JAM | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: maybe vs JAM - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: maybe vs JAM (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Group StageJAM won
- Counter-Strike: maybe vs JAM - Map 1 WinnerJAM won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.