Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stanford Cardinal vs. Virginia Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x550c22be5e223154d049382f27758dd171ebe3714d7e53cf3cd8feafdf627e80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Cavaliersof Stanford Cardinal, Virginia Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stanford Cardinal | 20c | 971.82$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.82 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 32c | 636.37$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 11c | 570.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stanford Cardinal | 13c | 342.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Virginia Cavaliers | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Stanford Cardinal | 23c | 293$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Stanford Cardinal | 15c | 291$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Virginia Cavaliers | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 74c | 247.89$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Stanford Cardinal | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stanford Cardinal | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Stanford Cardinal | 12c | 180.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 70c | 176.43$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stanford Cardinal | 18c | 111.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stanford Cardinal | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Stanford Cardinal | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Stanford Cardinal | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stanford Cardinal | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Virginia Cavaliers | 71c | 39.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…79b6backed Stanford Cardinal | 33c | 32.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Virginia Cavaliers | 62c | 23.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virginia Cavaliers | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stanford Cardinal vs. Virginia Cavaliersthis page
- Stanford Cardinal vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.