Lol · resolved market
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x551cb35f4811b4763ea5c3a442c5c0bc291c6478623d124e845616b8a68671f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOSof Fluxo W7M, LOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.97 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked LOS | 52c | 6,706$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,219.11 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed LOS | 52c | 5,922$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.48 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Fluxo W7M | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…80e7backed LOS | 59c | 2,810$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.94 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked LOS | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…8ebcbacked LOS | 52c | 2,088$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.24 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed LOS | 50c | 1,990$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Fluxo W7M | 50c | 1,990$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7929…0825backed Fluxo W7M | 44c | 1,962$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Fluxo W7M | 2c | 1,820$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LOS | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Fluxo W7M | 44c | 849.29$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.2 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…f275backed LOS | 56c | 764.14$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed LOS | 79c | 616.01$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 483 | 53.4%258 W · 225 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f8…cfa5backed LOS | 56c | 607.03$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e99…7c68backed LOS | 56c | 590.83$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed LOS | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked Fluxo W7M | 44c | 449.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed LOS | 65c | 438.26$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.37 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked LOS | 76c | 380.67$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…2feebacked LOS | 56c | 359.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.79 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked LOS | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed LOS | 57c | 298.25$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Fluxo W7M | 43c | 298.25$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fluxo W7M | 42c | 281$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Fluxo W7M | 18c | 279.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked LOS | 52c | 266.27$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.81 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fluxo W7M | 20c | 229.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…5d35backed LOS | 52c | 203$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae6…7acabacked Fluxo W7M | 10c | 198.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed LOS | 55c | 187.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed LOS | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Fluxo W7M | 22c | 142.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed LOS | 52c | 139.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed LOS | 59c | 121.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…6929backed LOS | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked LOS | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed LOS | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed LOS | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed LOS | 59c | 54.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6934…713abacked LOS | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…169ebacked LOS | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fluxo W7M | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked Fluxo W7M | 48c | 47.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Fluxo W7M | 44c | 39.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…58d7backed LOS | 66c | 38.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked LOS | 55c | 36.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…9ed0backed LOS | 56c | 35.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked LOS | 58c | 35.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad0…31f5backed LOS | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Fluxo W7M | 45c | 33.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed LOS | 49c | 31.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb5…2821backed Fluxo W7M | 47c | 31.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Fluxo W7M | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…1640backed LOS | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6f…e57cbacked LOS | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked LOS | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.