Champions League · resolved market
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55455f5f1d26d5f62186db2ed13439073e9a98fd97e7e92a0df2711d4956de45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 16c | 8,840$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 9c | 8,425$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.21 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 7c | 2,666$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.13 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 10c | 2,382$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 9c | 2,250$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 12c | 1,684$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 5c | 741.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 11c | 654.55$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…7ab3backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9100…ac4fbacked Yes | 12c | 432.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Yes | 11c | 322.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 7c | 299.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 104 | 19.2%20 W · 84 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 11c | 282.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 13c | 139.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…27f4backed Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…de34backed Yes | 11c | 100.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Feyenoord win on 2025-03-11?this page
- Will Inter vs. Feyenoord end in a draw?No won
- Will Inter win on 2025-03-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.