Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55934fbb730da6fc0c84e7c1c6cbcd546fd6d765ea6a46799c88d7e14ec47a43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquid Academyof Team Liquid Academy, CTRL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1966…25c0backed CTRL Esports | 13c | 3,133$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.64 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed CTRL Esports | 11c | 761.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed CTRL Esports | 12c | 591.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CTRL Esports | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed CTRL Esports | 11c | 245.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed CTRL Esports | 13c | 201.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed CTRL Esports | 13c | 200.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed CTRL Esports | 10c | 191.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked CTRL Esports | 10c | 130.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed CTRL Esports | 10c | 114.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed CTRL Esports | 13c | 105.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked CTRL Esports | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed CTRL Esports | 11c | 98.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.