Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55d9b7ee4b9c9ef3808573f0032504140e63ffdceeebd09994f0ca6f603954e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked No | 42c | 6,183$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 67c | 4,756$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.31 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…ca77backed Yes | 25c | 3,614$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 1,712$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.73 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 1,622$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.98 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 22c | 1,515$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.59 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae5…ca04backed No | 12c | 1,141$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 31c | 1,034$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.58 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 846$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.64 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 573.74$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.5 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 58c | 565.86$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.99 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 74c | 444$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.56 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 58c | 436.68$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 433$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.65 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 75c | 348$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 6c | 227.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 190.85$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.93 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 23c | 137.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 26c | 113.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 23c | 99.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b75…d083backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 77c | 47.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd256…9953backed No | 41c | 45.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 76c | 42.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…e122backed Yes | 58c | 34.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5414…30d0backed No | 48c | 33.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 39c | 31.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 28.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 58c | 22.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-20?this page
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.