Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55e48b7898d98c0b3130047b1cf51be20d14a5bb3ef0014f1601157f7b6e22f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of Azure Dragon Gaming, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed M80 | 74c | 10,212$7,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.78 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 25c | 7,431$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.78 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 31c | 863.2$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.42 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 30c | 800.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.03 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 35c | 364.92$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 31c | 225$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 30c | 215$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 32c | 173.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed M80 | 49c | 157$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 47c | 141.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked M80 | 76c | 138.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 30c | 115.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 34c | 99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 44c | 93.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked M80 | 65c | 87.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed M80 | 73c | 82.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 29c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked M80 | 57c | 50.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked M80 | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 28c | 49.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 30c | 46.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ce…3273backed M80 | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…77a2backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 30c | 34.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Azure Dragon Gaming (+1.5)M80 won
- Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageM80 won
- Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.