Tennis · resolved market
Tigre 2: Juan Bautista Torres vs Gonzalo Bueno
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5619fed51c9916fe75a1782b729a2c991b826c2e19ee7bda0eac138529e97323
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Torresof Torres, Bueno
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Torres | 60c | 6,492$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bueno | 57c | 3,995$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.8 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Bueno | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Bueno | 39c | 1,563$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.21 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…4795backed Bueno | 72c | 1,545$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Bueno | 37c | 1,331$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.95 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Bueno | 43c | 1,094$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.15 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Bueno | 43c | 1,092$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.6 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Torres | 65c | 956.7$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Bueno | 41c | 907$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.15 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Torres | 67c | 869.6$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.1 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bueno | 10c | 616.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Bueno | 36c | 493$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.81 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Torres | 52c | 473.45$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.27 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Torres | 45c | 436.09$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.83 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Bueno | 6c | 429.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Bueno | 28c | 429.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Torres | 39c | 402.56$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.56 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd12…5503backed Torres | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…8205backed Torres | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +7.4wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bueno | 37c | 330$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.77 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Bueno | 31c | 322.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Torres | 51c | 247.64$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.15 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Torres | 20c | 240.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.01 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +7.9wins | +0.33per pick | 25cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Torres | 62c | 229.78$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Torres | 46c | 218.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.97 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Torres | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Torres | 46c | 186$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbb…3b4bbacked Torres | 80c | 165.64$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd84…3df1backed Torres | 63c | 157.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Torres | 43c | 151.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Torres | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Torres | 72c | 138.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Torres | 44c | 134.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Torres | 47c | 127.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Torres | 54c | 124.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Bueno | 60c | 111.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Bueno | 39c | 106.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Bueno | 53c | 100.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Bueno | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Torres | 43c | 97.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Bueno | 52c | 92.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Bueno | 38c | 80.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1b…18bfbacked Torres | 41c | 78.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Torres | 44c | 69.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…fb76backed Bueno | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Torres | 64c | 62.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Bueno | 56c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Torres | 45c | 51.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Torres | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Torres | 46c | 44.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bueno | 38c | 39.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Torres | 70c | 37.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Torres | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Torres | 53c | 33.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Torres | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…b344backed Torres | 72c | 31.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…2f07backed Torres | 35c | 30.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…438cbacked Bueno | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Bueno | 56c | 25.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…5796backed Bueno | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…a57bbacked Torres | 58c | 21.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Bueno | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Bueno | 60c | 18.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.