Tennis · resolved market
ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Kaitlyn Carnicella
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56491b1aa97fd4caac5e7d430d93911dabe717b034e0f265c5dd9262b84735f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alina Shcherbininaof Alina Shcherbinina, Kaitlyn Carnicella
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 19c | 1,153$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.3 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 28c | 1,136$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 72c | 989.46$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.46 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 35c | 403.17$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.82 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 26c | 385.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Alina Shcherbinina | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…9751backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 29c | 342.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Alina Shcherbinina | 74c | 324.75$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 28c | 215.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…e319backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Alina Shcherbinina | 71c | 183.01$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 77c | 139.56$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 7c | 138.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed Alina Shcherbinina | 74c | 132.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 76c | 131.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf85e…5cd5backed Alina Shcherbinina | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 65c | 106.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 21c | 101.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Alina Shcherbinina | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 69c | 58.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 79c | 56.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 30c | 40.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Alina Shcherbinina | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Alina Shcherbinina | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Alina Shcherbinina | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Kaitlyn Carnicellathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shcherbinina vs CarnicellaShcherbinina won
- Shcherbinina vs. Carnicella: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.