Tennis · resolved market
Modena: Giorgia Pedone vs Mayar Sherif
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56533ddb5888ddc4fad3d75f0c377610370e499c3e7b9174076b3ed5518b6d71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mayar Sherifof Giorgia Pedone, Mayar Sherif
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Giorgia Pedone | 13c | 13,131$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.33 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Giorgia Pedone | 20c | 7,290$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.06 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…bb80backed Giorgia Pedone | 13c | 5,674$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.83 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Giorgia Pedone | 20c | 2,980$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.96 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Giorgia Pedone | 13c | 1,978$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.96 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Giorgia Pedone | 3c | 1,210$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2642…bfc4backed Giorgia Pedone | 4c | 1,004$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Giorgia Pedone | 18c | 694$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Giorgia Pedone | 21c | 618.24$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.44 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Giorgia Pedone | 9c | 565.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Giorgia Pedone | 18c | 278.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Mayar Sherif | 80c | 264.19$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Giorgia Pedone | 19c | 263.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Giorgia Pedone | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Giorgia Pedone | 18c | 180$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Giorgia Pedone | 19c | 134.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Giorgia Pedone | 18c | 109$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Giorgia Pedone | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Giorgia Pedone | 18c | 86.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mayar Sherif | 80c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Mayar Sherif | 80c | 77.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Mayar Sherif | 80c | 28.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.